NOAA has just released the latest computer runs which model where the oil from the GOM disaster is likely to go in coming months. Here’s the latest 90 day forecast. This is a summary chart of the “Percent of Spill Scenarios that will cause a dull sheen in a given grid as of Day 120 for a 33,000 barrels/day release for 90 days”…
Let’see if tyhis qualifies as “good news”, shall we?
• There is a low probability of shoreline impacts from eastern central Florida up the Eastern Seaboard (20 percent diminishing to less than one percent). Potential impacts become increasingly unlikely north of North Carolina as the Gulf Stream moves away from the continental U.S. at Cape Hatteras. If oil does reach these areas, it will be in the form of tar balls or highly weathered oil.
Our guess: If they used more pessimistic numbers (such as the ‘closer to real’ 60,000-100,000 bbl/day flow rates) things would be very much worse than even this. Not a happy situation indeed, although it does bring into focus why the past couple of weeks in our www.peoplenomics.com reports, we’ve been working on The Diaspora Handbook.
[George Ure - Urban Survival...]
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1 comment
Zen Bonobo
July 3, 2010 at 1:39 pm (UTC 1)
This disaster affects the economic engine of the Greater Gulf of Mexico. The center of the Gulf contains the deep canyons and cliff structures that produce grouper and snapper. The Gulf Stream is a migration path and food conveyor for all near shore and inshore sport and food fisheries. The Florida lobster alone drives the seasonal economies that derive tourist and recreational dollars on which many families survive. The trickle down outcomes of this disaster can be subdivided into increments as small as individual mom and pop motels all along the West Coast of Florida, through Florida Bay and the Ten Thousand Islands and the Keys. Thanks again, American motoring public.